Preface | |
Introduction | |
How much poverty is there? | |
Why does poverty exist? | |
What can be done to eliminate poverty? | |
Road map | |
PART 1: HISTORY OF THOUGHT |
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CHAPTER 1: ORIGINS OF THE IDEA OF A WORLD FREE OF POVERTY |
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1.1 | Progress against absolute poverty over the last 200 years |
1.2 | Pre-modern ideas about poverty |
Ancient origins | |
Mercantilism | |
1.3 | Early antipoverty policies |
1.4 | The First Poverty Enlightenment |
1.5 | The transition in thinking in the 19th and early 20th centuries |
The Industrial Revolution and poverty | |
Debates on the Poor Laws | |
Utilitarianism | |
A lost opportunity in America | |
The limitations of charity | |
Schooling debates | |
Socialism and the labor movement | |
Social research on poverty | |
New thinking in the early 20th century | |
CHAPTER 2: NEW THINKING ON POVERTY AFTER 1950 |
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2.1 | The Second Poverty Enlightenment |
New economic thinking relevant to poverty | |
Rawls’s principles of justice | |
The rediscovery of poverty in America | |
America declares war on poverty | |
2.2 | Debates and backlashes |
Poverty and inequality measures for America | |
Culture of poverty? | |
Relative and subjective poverty | |
The basic-income movement | |
2.3 | Poverty in the developing world |
Planning for rapid industrialization | |
The planners’ critics | |
The aid industry and development economics are born | |
Bringing inequality in from the cold | |
Re-balancing development thinking | |
Debates on the poverty focus | |
Better data | |
Globalization and poverty | |
New millennium, new hope, new challenges | |
PART 2: MEASURES AND METHODS |
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CHAPTER 3: MEASURING WELFARE |
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3.1 | Concepts of welfare |
Welfarism | |
Extensions and alternatives to welfarism | |
Capabilities | |
Social effects on welfare | |
Opportunities | |
A less ambitious goal | |
3.2 | Using household surveys for welfare measurement |
Survey design | |
Goods coverage and valuation | |
Variability and the time period of measurement | |
Measurement errors in surveys | |
Interpersonal comparisons of welfare | |
3.3 | Alternative measures in theory and practice |
Real consumption per equivalent single adult | |
Predicted welfare based on circumstances | |
Food share | |
Nutritional indicators | |
Qualitative and mixed methods | |
Self-assessed welfare | |
3.4 | Three principles |
Principle 1: Strive to be absolutist in the space of welfare | |
Principle 2: Avoid paternalism | |
Principle 3: Recognize data limitations | |
CHAPTER 4: POVERTY LINES |
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4.1 | Debates about poverty lines |
4.2 | Objective Poverty lines |
Basic needs poverty lines | |
Updating poverty lines over time | |
Revealed preference tests of basic needs lines | |
The food-energy intake method | |
Relative poverty lines | |
Consistency versus specificity | |
4.3 | Subjective poverty lines |
CHAPTER 5: POVERTY AND INEQUALITY MEASURES |
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5.1 | Normative foundations |
5.2 | Measuring inequality |
5.3 | Measuring poverty |
Poverty measures | |
The consumption floor | |
Estimation issues | |
Hypothesis testing | |
Summary | |
5.4 | Decompositions of poverty measures |
Poverty profiles | |
Changes in parameters versus changes in quantities | |
Growth and redistribution components | |
The sectoral decomposition of a change in poverty | |
Transient versus chronic poverty | |
5.5 | The robustness of poverty comparisons |
5.6 | Pro-poor growth and growth incidence |
5.7 | Measuring the “middle class” |
Absolute and relative approaches | |
Vulnerability and the middle class | |
5.8 | Poverty and inequality of opportunity |
5.9 | Targeting and incidence measures |
Targeting measures | |
Behavioral effects | |
5.10 | Mashup indices |
CHAPTER 6: IMPACT EVALUATION |
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6.1 | Knowledge gaps |
6.2 | Threats to the internal validity of an evaluation |
Endogenous interventions | |
Spillover effects | |
Misspecification of impact dynamics | |
Behavioral responses to evaluation | |
6.3 | Evaluation methods in practice |
Social experiments | |
Non-experimental methods | |
Difference-in-difference (DD) estimators | |
Fixed-effects regressions | |
Instrumental variables estimators | |
6.4 | The external validity of an evaluation |
Heterogeneity in impacts | |
Portfolio effects | |
General equilibrium effects | |
Structural models | |
6.5 | The ethical validity of an evaluation |
PART 3: POVERTY AND POLICY |
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CHAPTER 7: DIMENSIONS OF POVERTY AND INEQUALITY IN THE WORLD |
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7.1 | Global inequality |
Large income disparities in the world | |
Inequality in the developing world | |
7.2 | Poverty measures for the developing world |
Data and measurement | |
Absolute poverty measures | |
Estimates of the consumption floor | |
Poorest left behind? | |
Differing fortunes across regions | |
The developing world’s bulging middle class | |
7.3 | Poverty measures for urban and rural areas |
7.4 | Global measures of poverty |
Dissatisfaction with standard poverty measures | |
A globally-relevant poverty measure | |
Interpreting global relative poverty measures: two bounds | |
Truly global poverty measures | |
Differences in weakly relative poverty among developing countries | |
Concluding comments on relative poverty | |
7.5 | Poverty and the non-income dimensions of welfare |
The economic gradient in schooling and learning | |
The economic gradient in health and nutrition | |
Obesity | |
Socio-economic differences in mortality | |
Socio-economic differences in fertility | |
Family size and composition | |
Female-headship and poverty | |
Missing women | |
The feminization of poverty | |
Violence and poverty | |
CHAPTER 8: GROWTH, INEQUALITY AND POVERTY |
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8.1 | Theories of economic growth and distributional change |
Some basic concepts | |
Past debates on whether poor people benefit from economic growth | |
Development in a segmented economy | |
The Harris-Todaro model | |
Labor-market frictions | |
Modern growth economics | |
Institutions and growth | |
Factor distribution and growth | |
Insights on how inequality constrains growth | |
Poverty traps | |
8.2 | Evidence on growth and distributional changes |
The Industrial Revolution did (eventually) benefit wage workers | |
Evidence on distribution post-Kuznets | |
Growth and non-income dimensions of welfare | |
Growth and types of inequality | |
Urbanization and poverty | |
Progress against absolute poverty | |
Inequality as an impediment to pro-poor growth | |
Economic crises and poverty | |
8.3 | Evidence on distributional impediments to growth |
Macro evidence that inequality impedes growth | |
Evidence from micro studies | |
8.4 | Pro-poor growth? Case studies for China, Brazil and India |
China | |
Brazil | |
India | |
CHAPTER 9: ECONOMY-WIDE AND SECTORAL POLICIES |
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9.1 | Urban versus rural |
Urban-rural prioritization for development | |
Growth, poverty and urbanization | |
Conclusion on the role of agriculture and rural development | |
9.2 | Land policies |
9.3 | Health care policies |
9.4 | Water, sanitation and hygiene |
9.5 | Schooling policies |
Why do children from poor families get less schooling? | |
Mass schooling as a policy response | |
Banning child labor | |
9.6 | Public information campaigns |
9.7 | Price interventions |
Minimum wages | |
Rent controls | |
9.8 | Trade policies |
Whose gains from trade? | |
The globalization debate | |
9.9 | Development aid |
External development assistance | |
Aid and poverty reduction | |
Aid and growth | |
9.10 | Policies and institutions |
Policy advice and economics | |
Conditions for effective aid | |
Capital flight and odious debt | |
Poverty and poor institutions | |
Understanding persistently poor institutions | |
CHAPTER 10: TARGETED INTERVENTIONS |
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10.1 | An overview of coverage |
10.2 | Incentives, targeting and leakage |
Information and incentives | |
The BIG idea | |
Targeting | |
Leakage | |
10.3 | Targeted transfers |
State-contingent transfers financed by taxation | |
Unconditional subsidies and transfers | |
Targeted incentives for investing in human capital | |
Early childhood development | |
A caveat on service quality | |
10.4 | Other targeted policies |
Workfare | |
Training and wage-subsidy schemes | |
Land-based targeting and land reforms | |
Microfinance for poor people | |
Poor area development programs | |
CONCLUSIONS: PAST PROGRESS AND FUTURE CHALLENGES |
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Progress against poverty | |
Explaining the transition in thinking | |
Knowledge challenges | |
Two paths going forward | |
References |
Discussion
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